Guests are playing well, but on their stadium. In away matches they are not so strong, only one win in five matches is not good enough. After heavy defeat in Barcelona, Atletico drew twice, against Osasuna and Villareal in spectacular match with 8 goals. For team from Madrid it is very important to win this one, or pressure will be too big. Real is in trouble and Sevilla and Valencia will play against each other so this could be good chance for them to get closer to fourth place on the table. They just must start winning on the road if they want to keep chance for CL next season.

Numancia was in not so good position after convincing defeat on home ground against Betis. Even the most optimistic were thinking about point against Espanyol, but players believed in them selves and with two goals in last ten minutes they won. Only three wins till now, but they showed to others and to them selves they are able to play good football and with higher self confidence they can do something here.

Both teams will go for win. Numancia is playing home and they must go to take all three points as points from home are very important in relegation battle, while Atletico must win some games if they want to be in first four. This should mean open match and lots of goals, but tradition is saying something else. In last for matches of these teams we saw only 4 goals, but that was four season ago. On five outings of Atletico we saw 21 goals, but 15 were only on two matches against Villareal and Barcelona. Under 2.5 goals could be good choice and I will try with this. Both teams will try to win, but they will keep their net first and this will be cautious game from both sides.

Newcomers in Bundesliga are the biggest surprise in Germany for years. Even if you expected from them not to be in battle for surviving, no one could guess they will be in the top of the table after one third of championship. In the beginning people thought how they will fall you should just wait for that, but they are simply very good team. The best scorer and the best assistant in Bundesliga are from this team and that is not strange because they are the most efficient team in league with average of over 2.5 goals per game.
Everybody expect their match against Wolfsburg in last round to see how they will perform after defeat. Many people said that they need just one defeat to fall apart, but once again they proved they are deservingly on the top. You should know one more thing, their home games are not played on their stadium. That stadium will be available for them in second part of the season and I could just imagine what kind of support they will get than. If they are so good without real home ground, what can we expect next year?

Koln is not in bad shape in this moment, but they lost against Werder in last round. Without too much trouble Werder won and that was expected outcome so no one in Koln should be worried. Daum is always playing aggressive and you shouldn’t be surprised if you see Koln with three attackers. Koln is not so good at home with 3 wins and 2 lose in six games, but in away matches they collect 12 points. They must start with better result at home because they can count on whole season to be so good in away games. It seems they are under pressure at home and than they underperform. For this match they will try to win and to come real close to place which leads to Europe. It is still too early and they are not real contender for such a place in my opinion, but that is their aim for now.

Over is natural solution for game where Hoffenheim is playing. This time I will try with away win. Bookies constantly keeps high odds on Hoffenheim even they proved many times they are very good team. 2.35 is too big for me to resist. If you want to play on sure you can try with over 2.5 goals.

Montenegro is new country on football map but they have few excellent players. Vucinis is one of the main attack options in Roma, while Jovetic is announced as extremely big potential and he played for Fiorentina last weekend in Serie A. There is also young Vukcevic who is playing in Sporting and those three players are main force of this team. Coach Filipovic decided to call almost same players like before, only new face is Dzudovic because two central defenders are injured. Montenegro is very tough team, especially at home ground and it’s very hard to beat them in front of their own fans.

Macedonia was never in first league of national teams in Europe and they are still far away even they know to play draw with some favorites on home ground. When they play away it’s usually very hard for them to do something. Coach Katanec again decides to call only 18 players and only one new player is on the list. In Macedonia they expected to see on his list some new faces, from Serbia or from Macedonian league, but he obviously want from his players to understand each other perfectly on the field and this is good way. Maybe it’s not too smart to play with only 18 players, because injuries of bad form will affect that team very much, but Katanec made good results in friendlies for now. He is without lost game in 2008, two draws and one win.

This time Macedonians players will have tough task to stay unbeaten in Montenegro. Attacks are better part of teams and this is match where we should see some goals. Katanec will try with defensive tactics, but Vucinic is able to score almost from nothing, while Jovetic and Vukcevic are very fast players. Macedonia will rely on Pandev as always and I think over 2.5 goals is the best options here.

Bosnian team has only few supporters even in Bosnia and Herzegovina. There were big demonstrations against people in their football federation and there were always some problems with national team. Federation out Meho Kodro, well known player from Bosnia as manager of this team, but only few months later they suck him because he decided not to take his team on friendly against Saudi Arabia. When they decided to suck him, many players decided not to play for Bosnia any more, so they are playing now without some very important players. Blazevic must find solution for defense, because that part of the team is totally destroyed. First five defenders will not play because of injuries or because they decided not to play and first goalkeeper is out too. This means Cira must choose some players from Bosnian leagues, which is very very weak, or he will play with some midfielders in back line which is more possible.
On the other side of the team situation is completely different. Ibisevic and Salihovic are exploded in Bundesliga this season and first is the best scorer and the other is the best assistant. With Dzeko and Muslimovic from Wolfsburg Bosnia have very dangerous attack.

Slovenia also have one player who is high on the list if the best goal scorers in Germany. That is Novakovic and he will be main threat for Bosnian goal. Main advantage for Slovenia will be home field in Maribor, which will be full and supporters in Maribor are usually very loud and hostile. It’s too tricky to guess who will win, but goals should come in tons. My pick for this match is over goals.

Grenoble is newcomer in this league. They started like in dreams this season, but it was just matter of a time when they will stop. It is interested that they have lost only one game in away matches so far. That is great result in France, but that showed us they are much better team when they are defending. Defense is very well organized and everybody is doing their job. Counter attacks are very dangerous and they use the fact that many teams underestimated them in the beginning of the season. Now it will be much more difficult for them, because teams in France know they are good team and they will be no relaxed anymore.
Bazdarevic, coach of Grenoble, tried to surprise Marseille in last round and we could see they are not offensive team. Bazdarevic tried with three forwards, but at the end Marseille very ease handle that situation and finish match with 3-0 win. For this match they will go back to defense or result will be same.

Toulouse is better team in my opinion. Guests won some matches in the beginning, but now it’s time for them to get back where they belong. My pick here is home win.

Fulham is again, after few seasons, strong at Cottage and it is very hard to pick points from this stadium. Hodgson is aware that his team doesn’t have quality, but he insists on fighting spirit and that gives results for now. Hodgson is trying to play with same line up every game and all players know each other very good now. Team work is excellent and that is main reason for good results of Fulham at home. In away matches they are much weaker, but they just want to stay in this league and for that aim home wins are crucial.

Tottenham will again play to win, but they would be satisfied with point too, while every team in England in this moment can be satisfied with point against Tottenham. I don’t think that Fulham is going to lose this one. I know it’s very tricky but I believe in good result for Fulham. Tottenham is better team, but series must end and this is right moment for something like that. Their confidence is so high it could be possible for them to underestimate opponent. Odds for home win with +0.25 Asian Handicap is about 1.90 and I think it worth of shoot.