Betting Tip

We think margin for UNDER / OVER is too high, probably it will be real winter classic at New York, weather forecasts are bad and we really dont see teams taking risks by pass game. Simply, we dont want to discuss about final outcome, Giants are champions but Eagles played some fantastic football lately and their fans believe team is capable running to Superbowl this season.

Tip: UNDER 40 points
Stake: 25
Odds: 1.91
Bookie: BetAndWin
Result: 11 - 23
Profit: +22.75

So regular season is off, we ended it with 13 – 4 record and have every reason to be proud, even, in our opinion it was more predictable than in recent seasons. Wild card games are scheduled for the weekend, it is usually tough to pick and we will probably see tight games, bookies know it, so handicaps are set between one and three points for every game.
Tonight most of the money will go for Colts to beat San Diego away, but we will skip it and try Atlanta to beat Arizona.

Tip: Atlanta to beat Arizona
Stake: 15
Odds: 1.97
Bookie: PinnacleSports
Result: 30 - 24
Profit: -15

It is season finale for Bills and they will try to spoil New England chances to reach play offs. Buffalo is 7 – 8 this season, they faded after solid start and lost every chance to play in January. If they lose on Sunday, it will be third consecutive 7 – 9 finish for Bills under coach Jauron. He is playing for the job here and it is only motivation his players have. However, their bad record vs New England can be stopped as Bills lost ten in a row vs Patriots.

Tip: UNDER 42 points
Stake: 20
Odds: 1.85
Bookie: Expekt
Result: 0 - 13
Profit: +17

We think Bills are adequate opponent to for Jets to be back at winning ways. Really no one could suppose that New York will lost last two games after beating undefeated Titans and also New England. But things turned around entering Thanksgiving as Jets were beaten at home vs Broncos. They also continued to suffer on the West losing at San Francisko. So, suddenly they are not sure about winning East but still control it. Brett Favre and his team are 8 – 3, there are three games left and New York will host Miami in big game on last weekend of regular season. They have better division record comparing to Patriots so three wins will be enough to top East.

Tip: New York Jets to cover -7 handicap
Stake: 25
Odds: 1.83
Bookie: Expekt
Result: 31 - 27
Profit: -25

We expect New England to bite back after defeat…they had chance vs Steelers but lost it at the end. Of course, it wasnt expected by Brady replacement Cassell to repeat same performances like vs weaker teams, but still he was acceptable in first half before whole team played really awful in other 30 minutes. But it was vs Steelers and today Patriots will face lowly Seahawks. Seattle is 2 – 10 and will start without injured quarterback Hasselbeck.

Tip: New England to cover -6,5 handicap
Stake: 20
Odds: 1.91
Bookie: Canbet
Result: 21 - 24
Profit: -20

Ok, with 10 – 1 record this season in NFL we are prepared to risk here with OVER points. Yes, we know there is chance for rain in New York and also wind can harm passing game of Broncos and Jets but still, there are some facts that will support our ‘case’ :

- The AFC East leading Jets are in great form, people not only they beat undefeated Titans but scored 34 points…do you really think Broncos porous defence can stop Farve?

Tip: OVER 47 points
Stake: 20
Odds: 1.91
Bookie: Ladbrokes
Result: 17 - 34
Profit: +18.2

Vikings had chance to stay sole at the top of NFC North last Sunday, but awful performance in second half vs Tampa Bay costed them deeply as Bucs were able to overturn result and win it. The Vikings ran a total of 20 plays in entire second half. Adrian Peterson was completely out of the game in second half touching the ball just six times. Well, it was unexpected but showed that sometimes Minessota just cant hold the lead. Also, we have to point at their bad away record in current season as Vikings won just once outside Metrodome

Tip: OVER 40,5 points
Stake: 20
Odds: 1.94
Bookie: PinnacleSports
Result: 12 - 30
Profit: +18.8

We are currently 8 – 1 at NFL picks since season started but rarely took OVER / UNDER picks. But week 11 looks really tough and bookies made good job with handicap. So we will go for OVER points on Sunday afternoon when winless Lions travel to face rock solid Panthers

Tip: OVER 40 points
Stake: 15
Odds: 1.95
Bookie: PinnacleSports
Result: 31 - 22
Profit: +14.25

It is early NFL pick for this weekend by me, but it looks like solid bet. Bears are tough at Soldier Field and it is fact. But still their starting quarterback Kyle Orton picked injury vs Lions and even Rex Grossman led them to Superbowl, we think if Orton cant play, hosts are in trouble.

Tip: Tennessee to cover -3 handicap
Stake: 20
Odds: 2.13
Bookie: PinnacleSports
Result: 14-21
Profit: +22.6

For Chicago this game could be seen as back to basics. Ok, their offence is surprisingly improved, but you know, Bears are team that can make big things just playing hard defence. And they looked awful vs Minnesota allowing 439 yards and 41 points. They won, and it is only important but we think Bears will try to work on defensive approach tonight

Tip: Detroit to win first half with +7,5 handicap
Stake: 20
Odds: 1.89
Bookie: PinnacleSports
Result: 13 - 23
Profit: +17.8