DelPotro : Partizan vs Helios
Basketball - - Posted on October, 7 at 2:49 am
First weekend of Adriatic basketball league didnt bring expected results, there were several bug surprises, and our tip (Zagreb to beat Vojvodina) went wrong. However we will keep effort to find some value in basketball season during next week as limited offer in other sports means no big stakes and betting for fun, just to keep winning touch at www.bettingtip.net.
Partizan is best Serbian team, they dominated regional competition for last two years and even have great success in Euroleague. Competing with Europe best team is priority for Belgrade club but still they will use Adriatic league as chance to get three year contract with Euroleaue. They are close to that kind of deal and fully deserved it. Even with low budget comparing to clubs from Spain, Greece, Russia, Italy and some other countries they managed to reach final eight last year, mostly because hot home court and maybe most loyal support in Europe.
Last weekend they beat Krka, other Slovenian team in bad game…checking stats it is visible team is new, without three best players of last season. So they try to play fast, with many three pointers and shooting from every position. It is some kind of run and gun basketball, but Partizan saw start of Adriatic league as preparation for Euroleague that also starts in October.
Numbers vs Krka was bad, too many mistakes, low shoot percentage and so on…it could improve in this game as this team will grew in next few weeks.
Helios was rated as solid team but they lost at home vs Bosna. It was another surprising result as we expected Slovenians to have upper hand at home. They are strong in front of their crowd, and were known as poor travelers in past years.
Margin is big -14,5, Partizan will win, no doubt about it. But we dont know if they can cover handicap. We will try OVER 156 points. Simply Partizan scored with really low shooting 74 last weekend, we expect them to improve…also Helios could use somewhat lighter Partizan approach in defence and score above 70 points…they are more capable doing it than Krka.
We suppose, it is risky bet as margin looks high for early stage of the season, both teams didnt find form yet, but still we dont see tihght defences and both could improve shooting, Helios missed 13 free throws vs Bosna and was 26% for threes…even small improvement means they could easily scoring 75 or so…in that case OVER seems logical as Partizan will probably win it with 10 - 15 points margin…
Also, keep stakes low as it is just start of the season…
Tip: OVER 156 points
Stake: 20
Odds: 1.97
Bookie: PinnacleSports
Result: 82 - 67
Profit: -20
Posted in Basketball |